P-value of expected/observed proportion
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4.9 years ago

Statistics question (I formalise a real biological question to explain it easier):

There is an urne with 1000 balls - 600 white and 400 black. You randomly pick up 100 balls, and observe 40 white and 60 black ones. How to calculate the p-value of whether or not the observed proportion is significantly different from the random expecation?
Would a simple chi-square test do?

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ehm. I think there is something wrong with this formulation. You have an urn with 600/400 white/black balls and randomly picked up 100 balls. Your selected sample by definition is under null hypothesis (you took it from your initial urn). Why would you care about the p-value here?

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Hi German, I want to see if there is a bias/selection towards picking-up, for example, white balls. BTW, congrats :)

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Vielen Dank =) oh, so then it was not randomly selected? Use hypergeometric pdf https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypergeometric_distribution

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De nada :) and thanks reaching!

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This isn't a bioinformatics question, so you'll get better/more responses over at Cross Validated.

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Doubt there will be better responses than mine!

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There most definitely will be - it's the statistics SE.

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You are actually right, I changed my answer to correct one

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